Guru's Golden Picks: Arena Week 7

[AFLGuru]

Just a precursor... Posting the YTD recap for those interested.

YTD...

Against the opening line: 15-7
Against that same closing line: 12-8-1

Sides Record: 9-9 (+3.94 units)
Totals Record: 12-4 (+19.88 units)
Parlays: 1-2 (+0.55 units)
2nd half: 2-3 (-1.87 units)
Teasers: 0-1 (-3 units)
Props: 1-3 (-2.48 units)

Composite Record

YTD: 25-22 (53.2%)
Net: +17.02 units

 

[buzz21]

I finally have a day off where I can get these in early....let's hope Pinny is still soft and searching for the right numbers....

 

[MathProf]

Opening Lines

When you have a moment could you please tell me how to
determine the "opening line" since I don't believe that
Pinnacle provides that info.

Thx

 

[buzz21]

pinny just put them up:


phil +7, 110
ga +8, 108
lv pk, 92
nash +9, 93

 

[gobucks]

Philly is on the rise, now +9- should get to 14 for potential buy back, I got in at SJ -8

 

[gobucks]

I also took TB -6.5 and it is now at 8.5

 

[gobucks]

One More- Took GA/NY under 103.5. Let's see what the Guru got in!

 

[buzz21]

Philly hit 11 already...wow. I'm thinking I should have played everything, and then just middled all of them at the end of the week.....

 

[Mistermj]

I managed to get Tampa -6 in my first attempt doing this....but I would have been better off waiting with others. I can see this is going to take a while to learn how to do properly.

 

[AFLGuru]

These lines suck... I'm gonna kill BT. Gimme some more time and I'll get back here.

 

[MathProf]

TB move

I had TB at -5 on open but decided to check back with
Forum; when i returned it was -8.5!:sad3:

Now -9.5; will it reach -14 after Guru plays?

 

[Two-Niner]

Yep. Let's all agree to keep our mouths shut heading into Tuesdays. Once the lines are out, post where you have your lines and share your thoughts, not before the openers come out.

 

[MathProf]

Opening Lines -

Pinny put up lines at 12:30 EST

 

[KennyB]

Look, lets be real. I think that BT's post had no effect on the lines. It was one persons opinion. However, it probably would be a good idea if we all want a gag order until the lines are posted.

 

[AFLGuru]

These lines suck... but there are three lines of intrigue

Las Vegas (-1) 5 units... love the play
Georgia (+6.5) 4 units
Colorado (-6.5) 4 units

Haven't gotten to the o/us yet, but so far, I don't see much that really struck me.

Analysis coming...

 

[AFLGuru]

To be honest with you, I think this might be it unless some lines really move. I don't like this card at all.

By the way, if you jumped Tampa and San Jose... go ahead and sell them back now. Middle while you can. Those lines were way too high. San Jose at 7 was okay, but not here. Not even close here. Almost wanting me to take Philly bad...

And yes, I don't know how much of an effect it all had... probably very little. I tip my hat to a good looking card as set by the books. But if we all go mum before Tuesdays AFTER the lines get posted, it can't hurt us.

 

[AFLGuru]

What was the opening o/u on the New Orleans/Orlando game... I'm missing the number from my copy/paste...

 

[MathProf]

Voodo Total

I saw 96.5

 

[AFLGuru]

I love this... Tampa opens at -5.5 against Grand Rapids but -5 against Arizona... Arizona isn't a half point WORSE than Grand Rapids... in case everyone forgets, Arizona beat Grand Rapids by like 30 in Grand Rapids in week 1...

 

[TOMMYB]

I Saw N.o.-5 And 93.5